← MANAPRO STORE CHAMPIONSHIP SINGAPORE

Wind SeiryuuTier 2

at MANAPRO STORE CHAMPIONSHIP SINGAPORE

decks
3 (11.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12 6-6-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.0% avg ELO +3.0 per match
expected value
49.2% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.7% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1214 · median 1220 · range 1091–1332 (3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1056 Q1 1185 Q3 1366 1489
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 33% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Fractal 15.4% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 65.7% +15.1
Water Genbu 15.4% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 44.4% -8.9
Wind Astra Cleric 15.4% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.8% -13.1
Fire Luxem Assassin 11.5% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 59.2% +6.9
Fire Aggro 7.7% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 51.5% +1.4
Wind Allies 7.7% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 40.7% -8.9
Fire Crux Mage 3.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 63.6% +21.8
Fire Exia 3.8% 0
Wind Luxem Zander 3.8% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 3.8% 0
Decklists · 3 from this event

The 3 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 13 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 13 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Reclaim -1.00 0 1 0
Aesan Protector +1.00 1 0 0
Annul Spell -1.00 0 1 0
Beseech the Winds +1.00 1 0 0
Smoke Bombs +1.00 1 0 0
Nullifying Lantern -1.00 0 1 0
Trained Hawk +1.00 1 0 0
Crystallized Destiny -1.00 0 1 0
Quicksilver Grail -1.00 0 1 0
Brisk Windtrotter +1.00 1 0 0
Byakko's Command -1.00 0 1 0
Art of War +1.00 1 0 0
Innervate Agility +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/25031/archetypes/Wind Seiryuu